SSM - Population Health

Health systems increasingly record ICD-10 Z59 social-needs codes for housing, food, transportation, and related hardship to trigger referrals, report quality, and adjust risk. However code documentation occurs at varying rates and no study has separated what the code says about a patient's hardship from what it says about being documented at all. Using a linked electronic health record and claims corpus covering 4.95 million patients in 21 identifiable health systems, we matched 26,153 adults with a first outpatient Z59 code to similar uncoded patients and, as a negative control, repeated the entire design around an administrative code. Coding ranged from 1 percent to 24 percent of patients across systems and remained highly variable after adjustment for patient mix. A hardship code was associated with 67% (95% CI=1.61, 1.74) more emergency department (ED) visits and 43% ( 95% CI=1.38, 1.49) more hospital admissions in the next year (62 versus 49 of every 100 patients with any acute event). The administrative-code reproduced 46 percent of the Z59 association for ED visits and 70 percent for admissions. In the five systems with the most complete stay dates, no hardship-specific admission excess was detectable. Homelessness codes forecast two and a half times the ED visit rate. At national planning prices, excess emergency and preventable hospital care totaled roughly $2,000 to $2,500 per coded patient-year ($2,516 base scenario; about $1,100 under an exploratory assumed-discount scenario (not an estimate of hardship-attributable spending)), with the largest emergency burden among Medicaid patients. The Z code added no increment to clinical and utilization-based risk prediction models in any system.

Health inequalities are often examined through single axes such as class or ethnicity, obscuring how these dimensions interlock. This study applies a longitudinal intersectional approach to examine physical and mental health trajectories across five generations in the UK. We analysed 14 waves of the UK Household Longitudinal Study (2009-2024) using longitudinal Multilevel Analysis of Individual Heterogeneity and Discriminatory Accuracy (MAIHDA). We modelled SF-12 physical and mental health trajectories for 398 intersectional strata defined by gender, ethnicity, occupational class, and generation. Physical health inequalities widened with age, consistent with cumulative disadvantage, while mental health inequalities were more evident among later-born cohorts. The 'Boomer' generation exhibited a relatively flat mental health trajectory across its observed age range. In contrast, 'Generation Z' had lower predicted mental health, particularly among White British women with no work history - a group with poorer predicted trajectories than their South Asian peers. Our study shows how health inequalities are structurally differentiated by cohort and intersectional position. Policy responses should support proportionate universalism, combining broad population-level support with intensified action for groups showing poorer health.

Background: While health system costs of COVID-19 are well documented, evidence on out-of-pocket costs to patients and families, including non-medical and time burden, is limited. This study aimed to estimate out-of-pocket medical, non-medical, and time burden of COVID-19 illness directly from patients and caregivers. Methods: Two cross-sectional surveys were fielded to national nonprobability samples of U.S. adults in Fall 2023: a personal burden survey (adult sample) and a caregiver burden survey (child sample). Surveys collected data on care setting, visit duration including travel and wait time, and medical and non-medical out-of-pocket costs. After applying quality-based exclusion criteria, 409 adult sample and 52 child sample responses were analyzed. Results: Over 87% of respondents were insured. Median out-of-pocket medical costs per visit were low, ranging from $5 (emergency department) to $10 (urgent care) in the adult sample, and from $0 (emergency department) to $75 (hospitalization) in the child sample. Median non-medical costs were $28 or less across care settings. Median time spent receiving care ranged from 90 minutes (primary care, child sample) to 300 minutes (emergency department, adult sample). Despite the relatively low reported out-of-pocket costs, COVID-related financial challenges were reported by 34% of the adult sample and 29% of the child sample, with the most common difficulty being paying non-medical bills (11% and 15%, respectively). Twelve percent in both groups reported problems paying COVID-19-related medical bills. Conclusions: In this post-pandemic non-probability sample, individual out-of-pocket costs for COVID-19 illness were relatively modest. However, time burden was substantial and one-third of respondents reported financial hardship. These estimates, including non-medical and time burden not captured in administrative data, can support more robust economic evaluations of COVID-19 prevention and treatment interventions.

Recent industry surveys have reported widespread concern about mental health, working conditions, and harassment in the UK film and television industry, but no peer-reviewed empirical study has examined the determinants of occupational burnout in this workforce. The present study tested whether physical health, mental wellbeing, perceived public stigma, intrinsic job quality, and sexual harassment exposure predict burnout in industry professionals. A cross-sectional online survey was completed by 415 individuals across more than 100 job titles, with 286 also completing an optional harassment module. Mental wellbeing sat well below population norms, with 68% scoring in the range indicative of probable depressive symptoms and 82% in the high-exhaustion range on the Maslach Burnout Inventory General Survey. Mental wellbeing and intrinsic job quality were the strongest predictors of burnout (R2 = .56), with meaningfulness accounting for most of the job-quality effect. Working hours independently predicted emotional exhaustion. Harassment exposure was associated with burnout in women but not men, approximately 30% mediated by mental wellbeing; sexist behaviour directly predicted exhaustion in women. Workers with a disability reported higher stigma. Burnout was strongly associated with intent to leave, and the findings collectively indicate an industry-wide occupational health concern requiring structural rather than individual-level intervention.

Financial well-being (FWB) encompasses objective and subjective financial status and may influence health. We developed and validated a parsimonious FWB index using data from 23,006 Health and Retirement Study (HRS) participants aged 50 years and older from 2006 to 2022. The FWB-5 Index was derived using correlated two-factor confirmatory factor analysis accounting for household clustering. Indicators included household wealth, household income-to-poverty ratio, monthly financial strain, satisfaction with one's financial situation, and perceived financial mastery. We assessed convergent and discriminant validity using the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau Financial Well-Being (CFPB-FWB) Scale and Satisfaction with Life Scale, respectively. Associations with pre-baseline socioeconomic factors and subsequent depressive symptoms and health conditions were examined to assess construct and predictive validity. Model fit indices supported the two-factor structure (robust comparative fit index = 0.99; robust root mean square error of approximation = 0.05). Correlations were stronger with the CFPB-FWB Scale (Spearman P = 0.80) than with life satisfaction (Spearman P = 0.43). Associations with socioeconomic factors and subsequent health outcomes were in the hypothesized directions. These findings support the FWB-5 Index as a parsimonious measure for examining financial well-being and its associations with health across HRS waves, including those predating the CFPB-FWB Scale.

Background: Girls are more likely than boys to experience psychological distress during adolescence. Drivers of this gender gap remain under-studied, despite its large impact on later life and outcomes, especially for women. Explanatory factors can be gendered in their prevalence (differential exposure) and/or in their impact (differential susceptibility). We developed a multi-domain framework of explanatory factors for distress and applied it in four low- and middle-income countries. Methods: We first proposed a framework of explanatory factors for psychological distress grouped into seven domains (biological, cognitive, psychological, behavioural, social, environmental and broader societal). We applied this framework to identify explanatory variables assessed in childhood and adolescence in the Young Lives longitudinal cohort studies in Ethiopia (N=908), India (N=952), Peru (N=634) and Vietnam (N=887). Distress symptoms at 18-19 years were measured with the Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire Emotional Symptoms scale. Gendered prevalence of each explanatory factor was tested with Mann-Whitney tests, and gendered impact with country-specific linear regressions including a gender-by-factor interaction term. Exploratory boosted-tree machine-learning models, interpreted with SHAP values and permutation feature importance, examined the contribution of these factors to the gender gap in each country. Results: Distress was higher in girls than boys in every country, the gap ranging from 0.62 points in Ethiopia and Vietnam to 1.76 in India and 2.45 in Peru. Some explanatory factors were consistently gendered in prevalence (e.g. girls experienced greater role overload in each country), while others were gendered only in some countries (e.g. study amount was higher for girls in Peru and Vietnam, but not Ethiopia or India). Gendered impacts on distress displayed more variability across countries. For example, higher self-esteem was more protective for boys than girls in India, Peru and Vietnam, but more protective for girls in Ethiopia. The machine-learning models identified important predictors across all framework domains, though their salience varied by country. Conclusions: Our findings underscore the importance of considering multi-domain explanations for mental-health outcomes and observed inequalities in mental health. Large cross-country differences in the gender gap and in the prevalence and influence of explanatory factors caution against generalising drivers of mental-health outcomes and inequalities across contexts.

Abstract Objective To estimate the burden and patterns of multimorbidity and cardiometabolic multimorbidity among university employees undergoing a comprehensive health assessment programme, and to examine demographic and behavioural factors associated with multimorbidity. Design Cross-sectional study. Setting A public university in Maharashtra, India. Participants A total of 266 university employees who underwent a comprehensive health assessment were included. Main outcome measures Multimorbidity was defined as the presence of two or more of nine chronic conditions: hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidaemia, ischaemic heart disease, chronic kidney disease, thyroid disease, stroke, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and cancer. Cardiometabolic multimorbidity was defined as the presence of two or more of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidaemia, ischaemic heart disease and chronic kidney disease. Results Hypertension was identified in 119 participants (44.7%), comprising 50 participants with pre-existing hypertension and 69 newly identified during the assessment. Dyslipidaemia was present in 189 (71.1%) and diabetes mellitus in 45 (16.9%). Overall, 108 participants (40.6%) had multimorbidity and 103 (38.7%) had cardiometabolic multimorbidity. The prevalence of multimorbidity increased progressively with age, from 17.5% among participants aged <30 years to 83.3% among those aged [&ge;]60 years. The predominant exact multimorbidity patterns were hypertension with dyslipidaemia alone (49 participants) and hypertension, diabetes mellitus and dyslipidaemia (27 participants). Overall, 173 participants (65.0%) had at least one newly identified hypertension, diabetes mellitus or dyslipidaemia diagnosis. In multivariable logistic regression, age (adjusted OR [aOR] 1.058 per year, 95% CI 1.027 to 1.091), BMI (aOR 1.163 per kg/m2, 95% CI 1.076 to 1.257) and tobacco use (aOR 3.296, 95% CI 1.377 to 7.888) were independently associated with multimorbidity. The model had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.731. Conclusion Multimorbidity affected approximately two in five university employees, with cardiometabolic conditions accounting for most of the observed disease clustering. Comprehensive health assessment identified a substantial burden of previously unrecognised chronic disease. Integrating institutional or occupational health assessment with longitudinal primary care follow-up may provide an opportunity for earlier detection, risk-factor modification and coordinated management of multimorbidity. Keywords: Multimorbidity; cardiovascular diseases; hypertension; diabetes mellitus; dyslipidaemia; occupational health; university employees; India

Objectives: Women's empowerment is a key determinant of health and well-being and may shape how women access and benefit from publicly-funded health insurance (PFHI). We aimed to examine whether different levels of women's empowerment were associated with 1) verification in India's PFHI Pradhan Mantri Jan Arogya Yojana (PM-JAY), 2) outpatient care utilization, and 3) resultant out-of-pocket expenditure. Design: We conducted a cross-sectional observational study. We analyzed data from a household survey, created a composite empowerment index using structural equation models, and used multivariate regression models to test associations between women's empowerment and the outcome variables. Setting: The study was conducted between December 2019 and February 2020 among PM-JAY eligible households in six Indian states (Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Gujarat, Meghalaya, Tamil Nadu, and Uttar Pradesh). Participants: 14,378 women across the six states. Results: Three main findings emerged: First, high levels of women's empowerment were associated with higher odds of completing PM-JAY verification (AOR: 1.22, 95% CI: 1.09-1.36). Second, women's empowerment was not associated with outpatient service utilization. And third, either medium levels of empowerment (coef = -0.49, p = 0.020) or PM-JAY verification (coef = -0.37, p = 0.034) was associated with lower OOPE for outpatient services. Women who had both, PM-JAY verification and medium levels of empowerment, experienced higher OOPE (coef = 0.45, p = 0.058). Conclusions: Women's empowerment is an important factor related with PM-JAY verification, but not with outpatient service use. OOPE varied depending on whether women were both empowered and PM-JAY verified or not. Our results suggest that institutional and structural barriers may play a greater role in healthcare access than individual factors pertaining to empowerment alone. Achieving equitable access therefore requires gender-responsive systems that reduce administrative barriers and support women in navigating the healthcare pathway. Our findings highlight the importance of integrating outpatient care into PM-JAY to increase financial protection, streamlining verification processes to improve women's engagement with PM-JAY and the broader health system, and advancing health financing reforms that better support women.

Community-led urban greening may contribute to neighborhood safety, but its relationship with crime remains uncertain. We examined whether Keep Indianapolis Beautiful Project GreenSpaces in Indianapolis were associated with changes in violence and total crime. We used a matched-pair difference-in-differences design comparing funded sites with matched unfunded applicant sites. The primary analysis included 29 matched pairs with two years of pre- and post-grant follow-up. Monthly Part I violent offenses and total crime within 600-m buffers were modeled using Poisson pseudo-maximum likelihood. In the first post-grant year, the violent-crime estimate was lower but imprecise (IRR, 0.903; 95% CI, 0.805-1.014). In the second post-grant year, the relative rate was lower (IRR, 0.830; 95% CI, 0.718-0.961). Total crime estimates showed no clear post-grant change. Additional analyses indicated some sensitivity to spatial scale, but no sustained divergence in pre-grant crime patterns. Analyses of short-term crime dependence showed clear month-to-month persistence in violent crime within sites but limited evidence of stable spatial dependence across nearby sites. Therefore, within the two-year post-grant period examined, Project GreenSpaces was associated most consistently with lower relative violent-crime rates in the second year, while no corresponding decrease was observed for total recorded crime. Longer follow-up is needed to determine whether these patterns persist or change as projects mature.

Background: Patient satisfaction is a key measure of healthcare quality among people experiencing homelessness. Student-run free clinics (SRFCs) provide care to underserved populations, but the role of student involvement in patient satisfaction remains unclear. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional study of patients receiving care at an SRFC. From February 2024 to February 2025, patients completed post-visit surveys assessing satisfaction that were evaluated using regression analyses. Results: Eighty-eight patients completed surveys, reporting high overall satisfaction (mean 9.26/10). In separate linear regression models adjusted for age, gender, and race, greater perceived benefit of student involvement was associated with higher satisfaction ({beta} = .298, p = .037), whereas perceiving the visit as too long was associated with lower satisfaction ({beta} = -.285, p = .019). Conclusion: Greater perceived benefit of student involvement was associated with higher patient satisfaction, whereas longer perceived visit duration was associated with lower satisfaction. These findings highlight the importance of balancing educational opportunities with efficient workflows in SRFCs.

Violence against women is a key contributor to mental health gender disparities, with greater gender gaps observed in low-and middle-income countries. This study examines state-level associations between gender-based violence against women and mental health burden in India over time. We linked 1) annual state-level age-standardised disability-adjusted life year rates (ASDR) from the Global Burden of Disease study for overall mental health disorders, depressive disorders, anxiety disorders, bipolar disorder, schizophrenia and self-harm, with 2) annual state-level gender-based violence rates from the Open Government Data Platform, India. We used descriptive ecological analyses and multilevel modelling to estimate the state-level association between gender-based violence and sex-stratified mental health outcomes over time (2001 - 2021). Results showed higher state-level gender-based violence (GBV) rates were associated with higher state-level ASDR of schizophrenia ({beta}women = 0.39 [95%CI 0.25 - 0.52]; {beta}men = 0.42 [0.29 - 0.55]) and bipolar disorder ({beta}women = 0.02 [0.01- 0.03]; {beta}men = 0.04 [0.03 - 0.05]), after adjustment for state-level social development, but not with other outcomes. Higher GBV rates were associated with a lower gender disparity in depressive disorders. Longitudinal findings revealed that the state-level association between GBV rates and ASDR of overall mental health disorders strengthened over time ({beta}women = 5.08 [3.96 - 6.20]; {beta}men = 3.38 [2.60 - 4.15]), whereas the association weakened for self-harm and schizophrenia. Lagged findings suggested that with an increase in GBV rate, ASDR of overall mental health disorders increased for men over two years and for both sexes over five years. Our findings highlight the importance of considering state-level trends in GBV and related policies, and considering impacts of GBV on both men and women's mental health.

Abstract Many women experience menopausal symptoms after stopping hormone replacement therapy (HRT). An evidence gap remains regarding how women and healthcare professionals (HCPs) make decisions about discontinuing and restarting HRT. Aim To explore experiences of HCPs that support women when they discontinue and restart HRT. Design and setting Qualitative study with HCPs working in NHS primary care. Method Semi-structured interviews with HCPs (n = 15) conducted between October 2025 and March 2026. A preliminary coding template was created using the discussion guide as a framework. Each interview was then coded inductively against the template which developed iteratively. Team based discussion helped refine codes into themes and sub-themes, and a subsequent conceptual model was created. Results The model describes HCPs experiences of supporting women to discontinue HRT as an iterative process characterised by uncertainty. Discussions about discontinuation were commonly prompted by changes in clinical risk or annual HRT review, but decisions about whether and when to stop also depended on womens symptoms, side effects, life stage and readiness. HCPs described agreeing an individualised discontinuation strategy, providing support during the process, and reviewing women after discontinuation to consider alternative treatments or, where appropriate, restarting HRT. Conclusion HCPs recognise the importance of readiness to discontinue and that decision making should be woman led, with HCP support, clear practice guidance and opportunities to revisit treatment. Further research is needed to support women weigh up their personalised risk and benefit of continuing/discontinuing and identify discontinuation strategies that limit resurgent symptoms.

Background: Short birth intervals are a well-documented, modifiable risk factor for child death in low- and middle-income countries, yet nationally representative evidence from Ghana's most recent Demographic and Health Survey has not been fully examined. This study assessed the association between the preceding birth interval and under-five mortality using the 2022 Ghana Demographic and Health Survey. Methods: The analysis used the complete birth history reported by women aged 15-49 years. The cohort comprised births occurring 60-119 completed months (5-10 years) before the survey, which allowed a complete five-year observation window for under-five survival (n = 8,418; 397 deaths). Spacing models were restricted to second-or-higher-order births with a defined preceding interval (n = 6,340; 282 deaths), categorised as under 18, 18-23, 24-35 (reference), 36-47, and 48 or more months. Crude and adjusted odds ratios were estimated using survey-weighted, Taylor-linearised logistic regression, adjusting for birth order, child sex, plurality, maternal age, residence, region, maternal education, wealth quintile, and marital status. Results: Weighted under-five mortality in the cohort was 45.4 per 1,000 live births (4.54%). Among second-or-higher-order births, weighted mortality fell from 9.3% after intervals of under 18 months and 8.0% after 18-23 months to 4.2%, 3.2%, and 3.5% after 24-35, 36-47, and 48 or more months, respectively. Relative to 24-35 months, the adjusted odds of death were higher after intervals of under 18 months (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 2.58, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.48-4.49, p < 0.001) and 18-23 months (AOR 2.09, 95% CI 1.33-3.29, p = 0.001); longer intervals did not differ from the reference. Multiple birth (AOR 2.48, 95% CI 1.33-4.63) and having a mother who was never in union (AOR 3.25, 95% CI 1.29-8.17) were also associated with higher odds of death, and marked regional variation persisted after adjustment. Conclusion: A short preceding birth interval, particularly one of under 18 months, was independently associated with an approximately two- to two-and-a-half-fold increase in the odds of under-five death in this nationally representative sample. The findings support continued investment in postpartum family planning to help women space births at least 24 months apart, alongside closer attention to multiple births, unmarried mothers, and the regions carrying the greatest burden.

Background: Workplace discrimination and violence against health workers including sexual harassment is a societal problem worldwide. We aimed to assess the frequency, predictive factors, and effects of sexual harassment using a nationwide survey of physicians working in Switzerland. Materials and Methods: We conducted a self-administered questionnaire survey of physicians working in Swiss healthcare institutions. The questionnaire assessed experiences of sexual harassment at work, including frequency, types, and sources of harassment. It also asked about the impact of sexual harassment, whether incidents were reported, and what actions were taken following a report. Results: Among the 1837 physicians that participated in the survey, 575 (31.3%) had experienced sexual harassment at least once during their career. Among those reporting sexual harassment, 39.1% of women and 13.2% of men had experienced harassment at least once in their job. Women reported more verbal harassment, while men reported more physical harassment. Women were also more likely to face both forms combined. The main sources of harassment were colleagues of the same profession (46.7%), patients (42.3%), and superiors (41.0%). The most frequently reported impacts included stress (60.1%), emotional exhaustion (34.7%), reduced motivation at work (30%), and considering leaving the job (7.5%). Gender-men was associated with a lower likelihood of experiencing harassment 0.24 (0.18 to 0.31), whereas working in the German-speaking region was associated with a slightly higher likelihood of having experienced sexual harassment at least once (OR 1.35, 95% CI:1.02-1.81). Conclusions: Sexual harassment is common among physicians in Swiss healthcare institutions. It adversely affects the mental health and career trajectories of both men and women yet remains widely underreported due to fears of reprisals and inaction. Institutions should effectively intervene to ensure that reported incidents result in appropriate actions, and that those who report them receive adequate protection from reprisals.

People experiencing homelessness (PEH) have substantially lower quality-adjusted life expectancy and substantially higher healthcare spending compared to housed populations. California has the largest population of PEH in the United States, and an estimated ten percent of PEH have co-occurring opioid use disorder (OUD). We developed a lifetime, individual-level microsimulation of the 18,928 PEH with OUD in California to evaluate the health and economic effects of expanding access to housing through a Housing First approach, which does not require OUD treatment or abstinence. Increases in permanent housing and shelter access were based on Los Angeles County's Measure A goals, and we accounted for both housing and healthcare costs. Expanding housing access increased mean age at death by 0.34 years, reduced fatal overdoses for the cohort by 39, and produced an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $31,083 per quality-adjusted life-year gained, well below conventional willingness-to-pay thresholds. We provide evidence that housing is a high-value health intervention for PEH with OUD in California. Policymakers should support Housing First programs as part of integrated responses to the intertwined crises of homelessness and opioid use.

Background: Previous studies indicated that regional fluctuations in COVID-19 impact were associated with socioeconomic, demographic and environmental factors early in the pandemic. It is unclear whether factors associated with regional COVID-19 mortality and SARS-CoV-2 infections changed over the course of the pandemic. Methods: We evaluated the association of ecological factors with municipality-specific COVID-19 mortality in the national population of Austria between January 2020 and June 2023. Analyses were conducted separately per calendar year and pooled across years via random-effects meta-analysis. Outcomes were analysed using univariable and multivariable zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) regression, including annually averaged environmental exposome exposure (including air pollution and UV radiation), socioeconomic, demographic and infection dissemination predictors with significance threshold set to p<0.005. Secondary analysis modelled SARS-CoV-2 infections using of negative-binomial model (NB). Two additional approaches for smaller predictor set selection were applied as sensitivity analyses. Results: Within the entire observation period 18,430 COVID-19 deaths were reported. In univariable analyses (pooled RR (99.5% CI)), COVID-19 mortality was significantly associated with the proportion of commuters (0.79 (0.73-0.86)), residents aged 75-84 (1.18 (1.01-1.37)) and [&ge;]85 years (1.29 (1.04-1.60)), residents with at most compulsory education (1.15 (1.02-1.29)), employed residents aged 15-64 (0.89 (0.85-0.93)), and homeowners (0.91 (0.83-0.99)), as well as with precipitation (0.94 (0.89-0.99)) and the average time with a mean temperature of 5-15 C (0.95 (0.90-0.99)). In multivariable analyses the share of population aged 85 or older (1.30 (1.09-1.54)) and home ownership (0.92 (0.87-0.98)) were independently significant. Mortality predictor estimates were relatively stable across pandemic years. Across 5,963,882 documented SARS-CoV-2 infections share of employed in 15- to 64-year-olds (1.01 (1.01-1.02)), part-time employment rate (1.01 (1.00-1.02)) and district level nursing care allowance recipiency (0.97 (0.95-0.98)) were associated with detected infections. Overnight stays, population 85 or older, income, compulsory education or less and air pollution all had multiple significant estimates with opposite directionality, leading to non-significant overall associations. Sensitivity analyses outcomes mirrored main analyses outcomes. Conclusions: Throughout the pandemic in Austria, demographic and socioeconomic factors were associated with COVID-19 mortality and infections, but many associations, especially for infections, were unstable over time. These findings underscore the importance of structural vulnerabilities in epidemic impact.

OBJECTIVE: To describe (1) US emergency department-treated pickleball injury burden and the injury-to-participation measure among total players, with burden among adults aged 60 to 79 years as a descriptive subgroup, and (2) determine whether general internet search interest for 'pickleball' is also associated with total pickleball-related injuries. DESIGN: Ecological time series study, United States, 2014 to 2023. DATA SOURCES: National Electronic Injury Surveillance System (NEISS) emergency department microdata yielded 1,738 adjudicated pickleball cases, 921 of them orthopedic, weighted to an estimated 101,450 injuries nationally. Google Trends, English Wikipedia pageviews, and GDELT news volume served as general pickleball attention signals, with the Trends index for 'sourdough' as a negative control. Sports and Fitness Industry Association (SFIA) participation estimates supplied a total player denominator. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Annual national injury estimates with design-based 95 percent confidence intervals; injury-to-participation measures; and correlations between total pickleball-related injuries and general pickleball attention signals before and after removing trend and seasonality. RESULTS: Estimated emergency department-treated pickleball injuries rose 17.5-fold, from 1,391 in 2014 (highly unstable) to 24,294 in 2023. 70 percent of adjudicated cases involved adults aged 60 to 79. During 2017-2023, injury estimates rose 4.0-fold and participation rose about 4.4-fold. No temporal trend was detected in the injury-to-participation measure (P=0.59). Search interest looked like an excellent proxy: in annual levels it correlated with total pickleball-related injuries at R=0.96, and Pickleball Wikipedia pageviews at R=0.98. However, so did searches for "sourdough", at R=0.76. Removing trend and seasonality left little (monthly residual R=0.084; year-on-year R=0.28 over 96 months, 2015-2023), and the seasons ran opposite, with injuries peaking in February and searches in July, such that, on 12-month mean profiles, the sourdough negative control fitted the injury season (R=0.96) while pickleball ran against it (R=-0.40). General pickleball search interest and pickleball news coverage remained correlated in year-on-year changes in 2017-2023 (R=0.64), whereas their corresponding correlations with total pickleball-related injuries in 2017-2023 were 0.25 and 0.20. CONCLUSIONS: The absolute burden of emergency department-treated pickleball injury has grown substantially, but the available surveillance data cannot resolve whether the sport has become more hazardous per participant. The observed rise is consistent with growth in exposure alone. The strong correlation between search interest and injury counts was not specific, the association was substantially attenuated after detrending, and the seasonal patterns were opposed. These descriptive results do not establish that search interest can substitute for injury surveillance, and series that rise together should not be assumed to be related.

Background: Thinness-oriented body ideals are well described among young Japanese women, but variation in visual and numerical ideals by sex, age, and current BMI remains unclear. Methods: We analysed an unweighted web-panel sample of 27,359 Japanese adolescents and adults aged 15-69 years from the Survey of Body Shape and Health Awareness in Japanese People, a cross-sectional web-based survey. Current and ideal BMI were derived from self-reported height and weight, and visual orientation from ideal versus perceived current silhouette. Adult BMI-stratified analyses included participants aged 20-69 years. Findings: Among 27,359 participants (10,094 men and 17,265 women), relative thinness-oriented indicators increased with current BMI in both sexes. Among normal-weight women, 74.7-83.7% selected a smaller ideal silhouette and 79.2-91.2% reported an ideal BMI lower than current BMI. These indicators were also present among underweight women aged 20-29 years (44.9% and 43.4%, respectively), but declined with age. Most underweight men reported weight-gain-oriented ideals. Fine stratification showed that thinness-oriented ideals among women were common in low-normal and mid-normal BMI strata. Interpretation: Body-size ideals differed by sex, age, and current BMI. Thinness-oriented ideals among women extended beyond obesity and young adulthood, whereas underweight men generally preferred a larger body. Longitudinal and behavioural studies are needed. Funding: Cabinet Office of Japan Strategic Innovation Promotion Program (SIP), "Inclusive Community Platform" (grant no. SIPCP23C02).

Introduction: Pesticide exposure has been associated with poorer mental health, yet little is known about whether seasonal fluctuations in agricultural pesticide use are associated with cyclical changes in mood among people living in agricultural communities. We evaluated associations between 10 peak and off-peak pesticide spray seasons and ecological momentary assessment (EMA)-derived mood in a floricultural region in Ecuador. Methods: 496 participants completed repeated EMA surveys across 10 assessment administrations over 2.5 years (2022-2024), including one single-assessment administration and nine 10-day bursts (Nobservations=14,332). Mood outcomes included negative affect (sadness, anxiety, stress, anger, tiredness, difficulty concentrating; overall mean=2.79, Standard Deviation [SD]=1.32), positive affect (happiness, motivation; overall mean=4.21, SD=1.60), and behavioral dysregulation (aggression and impulsivity, overall mean=1.86, SD=1.29). Generalized linear mixed models estimated pooled, between-person and within-person associations between peak pesticide spray seasons and mood, adjusting for demographic and longitudinal factors Effect modification by sex, floricultural occupation, and cohabitation with a floricultural worker was assessed. Results: Peak spray seasons were associated with higher negative affect ({beta}=0.11 [0.06, 0.16]) and behavioral dysregulation ({beta}=0.10 [0.05, 0.15]) but not positive affect ({beta}=0.01 [-0.05, 0.07]). Associations were driven by within-person changes. Sex modified associations with negative affect, which were stronger in males than females. Floricultural occupation modified associations, with poorer mood, greater behavioral dysregulation and lower positive affect among floricultural workers than non-workers. Discussion: Peak pesticide spray seasons were associated with worsening of negative affect and behavioral dysregulation. EMA may provide a sensitive approach for detecting short-term neurobehavioral changes associated with seasonal pesticide exposure.

Background Chemsex, drug use before/during sex to facilitate and enhance the experience, is undertaken by a minority of gay, bisexual and other men who have sex with men (GBMSM), but evidence of chemsex prevalence in England is limited. This study describes trends in chemsex prevalence between 2022-2025 and identifies factors associated with chemsex amongst GBMSM in England. Methods Data from the RiiSH study (2022-2025), an annual online cross-sectional survey of GBMSM recruited through social networking/dating apps and community partners, were analysed. Trends in chemsex prevalence and adjusted prevalence were estimated using log-binomial regression models. The following seven variables were candidate factors associated with chemsex and were assessed through logistic regression: age, sexual orientation, education, employment, HIV status, HIV PrEP use, and sexual health service (SHS) use. Results 5728 GBMSM were included in this study. Adjusted chemsex prevalence varied from 6.1% in 2022 to 4.2% in 2023, 5.1% in 2024 and 6.8% in 2025. Chemsex was more likely in GBMSM who were: gay (aOR=1.57 versus other sexual orientations; 95%CI 1.11-2.29, p=0.01), unemployed (aOR=3.08 versus employed full-time; 95%CI 2.19-4.26, p<0.001); aged 35-59 versus 16-34 years (p<0.001), with recent HIV PrEP use (aOR=3.79 versus no recent use; 95%CI 2.63-5.56, p<0.001), SHS use (aOR=2.23 versus no recent use; 95%CI 1.76-2.83, p<0.001), and living with HIV (aOR=3.16 versus negative/unknown HIV status; 95%CI 2.43-4.09, p<0.001). Conclusions Chemsex prevalence was low and stable between 2022-2025. PrEP and SHS use were associated with chemsex, supporting integration of specialist support services within SHS.