SSM - Population Health

Background: Whole-population linked administrative data platforms provide an opportunity to generate evidence on early life multidimensional disadvantage to inform resourcing and service provision to families with complex needs. Methods: We used individual-level de-identified data from nine administrative data sources included in the Better Evidence Better Outcomes Linked Data (BEBOLD) platform. The population included all children born in South Australia between 2004-2011 (n=143,083), and their parents. We described the prevalence and distribution of multiple disadvantages affecting children from the 12 months before birth to age 5. Eleven domains of parental disadvantage were created: economic, education, access to services, mental health, substance misuse, smoking during pregnancy, domestic and family violence, health, child protection contact, justice system contact, and death. We investigated the concordance of our measure with an area-level socioeconomic measure used in government reporting. Results: One in two children (48%) were exposed to at least one disadvantage domain, and one in seven (14%) were exposed to three or more domains before age five. Economic disadvantage was most prevalent, affecting one in four (27%) children, of which 75% were exposed to additional forms of disadvantage. Substance misuse, domestic and family violence, and justice system contact were the least likely domains to occur in isolation. Only 54.4% who experienced five or more disadvantage domains were classified in the area-level socioeconomic measure's 'most disadvantaged' quintile. Conclusion: Early life exposure to parental disadvantage can be highly multidimensional. Measurement across different systems is important for informing coordinated service provision for families with complex needs.

Background Fertility rates in Australia have been declining over recent decades, reaching a record low total fertility rate of 1.48 births per woman in 2024. Concurrently, vasectomy remains widely accessible and increasingly normalised as a permanent contraceptive option. Despite extensive commentary on falling birth rates, no contemporary Australian study has examined vasectomy rates relative to birth rates over time. We aimed to compare population level vasectomy and birth rates across Australian jurisdictions and age groups. Study design Nationwide retrospective time-series study. Retrospective population-based study using Medicare Benefits Schedule item 37623 to identify vasectomy procedures performed between July 2015 and December 2024. Rates were calculated per 100,000 male population using quarterly Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) population estimates and summarised as rolling 12-month averages. Birth rates were derived using matched ABS data for women across equivalent age strata (18-24, 25-34, 35-44 years). Results: Vasectomy rates increased nationally from 32 per 100,000 in 2016 to 55 per 100,000 in 2023 before declining modestly in 2024. Birth rates declined from 5,200 to 3,800 per 100,000 over the same period. Trends were consistent across states and age groups, with the greatest vasectomy uptake in men aged 35-44 years. Conclusion: Australia is undergoing a demographic shift characterised by rising vasectomy uptake and declining fertility. While vasectomy rates remain lower than birth rates, their convergence signals changing reproductive intentions and contraceptive behaviours. Ongoing monitoring of permanent and long-acting contraception is essential to understand evolving population dynamics and inform reproductive health policy.

Background and Objectives: Arts and cultural engagement may contribute to well-being in later life. However, evidence from longitudinal studies from Asia, including Japan, remains limited. This study examined the association of arts and cultural engagement with subsequent multidimensional well-being among older adults in Japan, one of the fastest-aging countries. Research Design and Methods: This longitudinal study used panel data from 354 individuals aged 60 and older (mean age 74.0 years; 78.6% women) who completed self-administered questionnaires by mail between 2022 and 2024. The PERMA-Profiler was used to assess five multifaceted aspects of psychological well-being: positive emotion, engagement, relationships, meaning, and accomplishment. Frequencies of arts and cultural engagement at baseline were measured for active (e.g., activities by individuals and participation in groups, such as music and painting) and receptive (e.g., visiting museums, galleries, and theaters) forms. Results: Multivariable linear regression analysis, adjusted for the covariates including baseline PERMA scores, showed that higher frequencies of active engagement were positively associated with higher PERMA scores for all domains. Higher frequencies of receptive engagement were associated with the domains of positive emotion, meaning, and accomplishment, but not clearly associated with engagement and relationships. Restricted cubic spline analyses suggested clearer positive frequency-response patterns for active engagement than for receptive engagement. Discussion and Implications: Arts and cultural engagement, both active and receptive forms, was associated with subsequent multiple aspects of well-being in later life. These findings suggest the importance of ensuring access to arts and cultural opportunities for older adults to create, participate, and connect.

Introduction: Blackpool, England's most deprived local authority, has the highest drug-related death rate in the country. People in police custody with problem substance use are a key Core20PLUS5 inclusion-health group, yet referral from the police into structured drug and alcohol treatment is fragmented and relies heavily on self-report. We evaluated the current police-to-treatment route in Blackpool and designed an evidence-informed unified pathway. Materials and Methods: A mixed-methods service evaluation and pathway-design project was conducted during a six-month General Practice / Public Health rotation. Routinely collected referral data from Horizon (the local specialist drug and alcohol service) covering the 47-month period from December 2019 to October 2023 were analysed. Findings were triangulated with national policy, the Project ADDER and Liaison and Diversion evaluations, and the international evidence on police-led pre-arrest diversion. Results: Of 5,900 total referrals into Horizon over 47 months, only 269 (4.56%) originated from the police. Police referrals accounted for fewer than 5% of monthly referrals in 30 of 47 months, for 5 to 9.9% in 16 months, and for >/= 10% in only one month (10.8%, December 2022). Blackpool recorded 76 drug-misuse deaths in 2019-21 (19.4 per 100,000, approximately four times the England rate). A six-step unified pathway is proposed: Initiate Referral (opt-out, from ADDER Police and Liaison and Diversion); Initial Assessment; Tailored Treatment Plan; Continuous Support; Collaboration and Monitoring; and Evaluation and Adjustment. Conclusions: Police contact is markedly under-used as a gateway to treatment despite Blackpool having the highest drug-related mortality in England. An opt-out, multi-agency pathway anchored in Core20PLUS5 has the potential to narrow the treatment gap, reduce re-offending, and address the structural health inequalities that drive premature mortality.

Abstract Background. Area-level cancer disparities are routinely estimated from public county data in which rates based on small counts (fewer than 16 cases or deaths) are suppressed. Analysts typically drop suppressed counties (complete-case analysis). Because suppression depends on case counts tied to population size and demographic composition, this missingness may be informative, but its effect on the disparity estimate has not, to our knowledge, been quantified. Methods. In a cross-sectional ecological study of 3,143 U.S. counties (analytic sample 3,018 with computable exposure) using one frozen public release of NCI State Cancer Profiles incidence and mortality data and ACS 2018-2022 5-year data, we estimated the most- versus least-deprived ICE(race+income) quintile rate ratio (RR) and rate difference for female breast, stomach, and cervix cancers under four suppression-handling methods: complete-case, available-case, bounding, and model-based small-area estimation. We characterized which counties were erased, and, following the ADEMP framework, ran a Monte Carlo simulation (1,000 replicates per cell; Monte Carlo standard error of bias approximately 0.0025) calibrated to the release to measure bias against a known truth. Analyses were pre-registered. Results. The suppressed fraction rose with rarity: 7.4% of counties for breast, 61.3% for stomach, and 75.7% for cervix incidence. Suppression was concentrated in the most-deprived quintile (cervix, 81.8% suppressed vs 63.8% least-deprived) and overwhelmingly removed rural rather than minority residents (cervix: 81% of the rural but 9% of the minority population erased). For breast (little suppression) the RR was 0.87 (95% CI 0.85-0.89) and identical across methods; for cervix incidence the complete-case RR (1.56) exceeded the model-based estimate (1.50), and for cervix mortality (91% suppressed) complete-case (1.86) exceeded model-based (1.56) by 16% with a wide bounding interval (1.88-2.62). In calibrated simulation, population-weighted complete-case bias was small (less than 2%) at the observed deprivation-county-size correlation and grew with rarity, threshold, and unweighted aggregation; its direction was conditional, becoming positive (over-estimation) as deprived counties became smaller. Conclusions. Complete-case handling of suppressed counties over-estimates rare-cancer area disparities relative to methods that retain them, while silently erasing most of the rural and most-deprived communities the estimate is meant to represent. The effect is negligible for common cancers and grows with rarity. Public-data disparity analyses should report the suppressed fraction and use bounded or model-based estimates by default. Keywords: cancer disparities; small-count suppression; Index of Concentration at the Extremes; informative missingness; small-area estimation; rural health.

Background. Nascent findings suggest that people with attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) experience higher rates of mortality. To date, study samples have been insufficiently well-characterized to examine the mechanisms via which this neurodevelopmental condition elevates mortality risk. Methods. We used data from the 2007 and 2011 waves of the US National Health Interview Survey, a general population-based cohort study comprising 52097 adults (28675 women) aged 18 years or older at baseline. ADHD diagnosis and an array of demographic, socioeconomic, lifestyle, and co-morbidity (somatic and psychiatric) covariates were self-reported. Findings. At baseline, compared with unaffected individuals, participants with ADHD were more likely to be socioeconomically disadvantaged, smoke cigarettes, consume alcohol, and report symptoms of psychological distress. A median 7.75 years of mortality surveillance (range: 7.25-12.25) gave rise to 6597 deaths from all-causes. After adjustment for age, sex, ethnicity, and survey year, ADHD was associated with a markedly elevated risk of death (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]: 1.58 [1.20-2.09]). Statistical adjustment for socioeconomic circumstances (11% attenuation), physical co-morbidities (15%), and lifestyle factors (17%) had only a modest impact on the ADHD-death gradient, with the greatest explanatory power apparent for symptoms of depression and anxiety (58%). The magnitude of the association of ADHD with mortality was commensurate to that for several well-established risk factors such as poverty (1.66 [1.55-1.78]), hypertension (1.41 [1.32-1.51]), and diabetes (1.71 [1.59-1.85]) but somewhat lower than cigarette smoking (2.51 [2.29-2.76]) after controlling for age, sex, ethnicity, and survey year. Associations between ADHD and cause-specific mortality from cardiovascular disease, cancer, and chronic respiratory disease were inconclusive. Interpretation. In the present study, the influence of ADHD on total mortality appears to be largely embodied via a series of malleable characteristics, particularly mental illness. If confirmed elsewhere, these results raise the possibility that risk factor modification via standard pharmacological and behavioral interventions could help reduce rates of premature mortality in this patient group. Funding. This paper received no direct funding. GDB is supported by the UK Medical Research Council (MR/P023444/1) and the US National Institute on Aging (1R56AG052519-01, 1R01AG052519-01A1).

Introduction Indigenous peoples in Canada face persistent health inequities rooted in colonialism, systemic racism, discrimination and social exclusion, all of which operate with particular intensity within healthcare institutions. Despite a growing qualitative literature documenting the discrimination and stigmatisation of Indigenous people by healthcare professionals, no validated instrument existed in the Canadian context to measure the stigmatizing attitudes and behaviors of clinicians toward this population. Aim This study aimed to co-develop and validate an instrument using clinical case vignettes designed to capture the affective, cognitive, and behavioral dimensions of stigmatization of indigenous peoples. Method Following Boateng et al.'s three-phase scale development approach, a multidisciplinary team including Indigenous patient partners, researchers, clinicians, and measurement experts generated 244 items across three paired clinical vignettes addressing type 2 diabetes, chronic back pain, and depressive disorder. Each vignette was developed in two versions, one featuring an Indigenous patient (test) and one featuring a non-Indigenous patient (control), distinguished solely by name and origin. Content validity was assessed by an expert committee using a Content Validity Index. The instrument was subsequently administered to a sample of nurses and physicians from two canadian health institutions using a twelve-arm randomization design. Analyses were carried to assess the internal structure of the instrument, convergent and concurrent validity as well as internal consistency. Results Our results show that the instrument developed has good psychometric qualities, particularly in terms of internal consistency, concurrent validity and factor structure, which reflects the theoretical structure assumed. Concurrent validity of the tool with the M-PATAS scale demonstrated weak to moderate significant correlations. Developed through a participatory process centering Indigenous expertise and lived experience, this instrument constitutes a significant methodological advance in the study of racialized stigmatization in Canadian healthcare.

Background Cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome integrates adiposity, metabolic risk, kidney dysfunction, and cardiovascular disease in a prevention-oriented framework. National estimates across 1999-2023 NHANES and future burden remain limited. Methods We analyzed US adults aged 20 years from 11 NHANES cycles, 1999-2000 through August 2021-August 2023. CKM stage 0-4 was assigned using harmonized examination, laboratory, medication, and questionnaire data. Prevalence was survey-weighted and standardized to the 2010 US Census adult population. Decade trends used survey-weighted logistic regression adjusted for age, sex, and race and ethnicity. Exploratory 2040 and 2050 projections combined NHANES prevalence models with US Census projections under population-aging-only, trend-continuation, and risk-improvement scenarios. Results Among 62,890 eligible adults, 62,888 had sufficient CKM data. In 2021-2023, age-standardized prevalence was 87.9% (95% CI, 86.5%-89.4%) for CKM stage 1 and 62.0% (95% CI, 60.1%-63.8%) for stages 2-4. Stage 2 accounted for 50.1% (95% CI, 48.2%-51.9%) and stages 3-4 for 11.9% (95% CI, 11.0%-12.7%). From 1999-2000 to 2021-2023, any CKM increased by 4.6 percentage points (95% CI, 2.4 to 6.9; P<0.001), whereas stages 2-4 changed by 2.1 percentage points (95% CI, 5.1 to 0.8; P=0.156). In adjusted decade models, any CKM increased (OR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.19-1.38; P<0.001), while stages 2-4 showed no significant linear trend (OR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.89-1.01; P=0.084). Excess adiposity and diabetes increased, dyslipidemia declined, and hypertension, chronic kidney disease, and clinical cardiovascular disease were stable. With population aging alone, projected stages 2-4 burden rose from 164.8 million adults in 2023 to 193.7 million in 2050; under risk improvement, it was 147.7 million. Conclusions CKM syndrome remained highly prevalent among US adults. Although later stages did not increase significantly, population aging may expand the absolute care burden unless broad risk improvement occurs.

Background: Pregnancy loss has important implications for womens health. Although maternal age is a well-established risk factor, the contribution of routinely measured cardiometabolic and behavioral markers at population-scale remains incompletely characterized. Objective: To examine associations between cardiometabolic, nutritional, and behavioral risk markers and pregnancy loss among U.S. women of reproductive age. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of 4,842 U.S. women aged 20-44 years with [&ge;]1 pregnancy using the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey data (2013-2023). Pregnancy loss was defined as [&ge;]1 prior miscarriages. Exposures included body mass index, smoking exposure (cotinine), lipid biomarkers, vitamin D and folate, and a composite cardiometabolic-nutritional risk score. Survey-weighted logistic regression estimated adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and 95% confidence intervals, with bootstrap resampling for predictor robustness. Results: The weighted prevalence of pregnancy loss was 23%. Higher odds of pregnancy loss were associated with increasing age (aOR per year=1.02; 95% CI: 1.00-1.04), Non-Hispanic Black race (aOR=1.32; 95% CI: 1.00-1.74), overweight (aOR=1.56; 95% CI: 1.16-2.11), obesity (aOR=2.06; 95% CI: 1.39-3.05), and smoking (aOR=1.58; 95% CI: 1.19-2.10). Adverse lipid profiles, particularly elevated triglycerides (aOR=1.83; 95% CI: 1.16-2.90) and high low-density lipoprotein (aOR=2.97; 95% CI: 1.45-6.61), were independently associated with pregnancy loss. Vitamin D/folate were not stable predictors. Higher composite cardiometabolic-nutritional risk scores were observed among women with pregnancy loss (P=0.026). Conclusion: Pregnancy loss clustered with adverse cardiometabolic and behavioral risk markers in a nationally representative population. These findings highlight pregnancy loss as a marker of broader metabolic vulnerability supporting the need for longitudinal studies and cardiometabolic profiling to inform preconception care and risk stratification.

Background: The Universal Periodic Review (UPR) is a peer-review mechanism established to hold UN Member States accountable for human rights including the right to health, yet evidence on its impact on health outcomes is limited. We evaluated whether UPR engagement is associated with accelerated improvements in maternal health trajectories. Methods and Findings: We conducted a longitudinal ecological analysis of 89 countries with a baseline maternal mortality ratio (MMR) of 70 or greater per 100,000 live births in 2005. Outcomes were trajectories of annual MMR, skilled birth attendance (SBA), and contraceptive prevalence rate (CPR), from 2005 to 2023. The exposure was the volume of health-related UPR recommendations received across three cycles, thematically classified using a validated rule-based algorithm. Mixed-effects models adjusted for time-varying GDP per capita and historical fragility. The 89 countries received 41,733 UPR recommendations across three cycles, of which 405 (1%) were related to maternal health. Maternal health recommendations were preferentially directed at countries with higher baseline MMR and lower SBA. After adjustment, each additional maternal health recommendation was associated with a 0.24% [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.08, 0.40] faster annual reduction in MMR, a 0.52% [0.12, 0.91] faster annual gain in the odds of SBA, and a 0.21% [0.09, 0.34] faster annual gain in the odds of CPR. Broader recommendations on women's health and health systems and services were also associated with faster annual improvements in trajectories across all three outcomes; recommendations on abortion, family planning, sexual health and wellbeing, and sexual education tended to be directed towards lower-burden countries and were not associated with differences in any trajectories. It is important to note that the ecological design precludes causal inference. Conclusions: Receiving UPR recommendations on the themes of maternal health, womens health, and health systems and services are associated with accelerated improvements in maternal health trajectories among high-burden countries. These findings suggest that international human rights accountability mechanisms may have a role in supporting national progress on maternal health.

Cultural engagement is associated longitudinally with better mental health and reduced depression incidence, but evidence has largely relied on self-reported symptoms and diagnoses, leaving uncertainty about clinically recorded disorders, and residual confounding remains a concern. Here, we examined whether cultural engagement (including going to cinemas, museums, galleries, exhibitions, theatre, concerts, or opera) predicts hospital-treated mental disorders in 8,274 adults aged 50 years or older from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing. Participant records were linked to ICD-10 diagnoses in Hospital Episode Statistics and mortality records with follow-up of up to 20 years. In fully adjusted Cox models accounting for sociodemographic, lifestyle, and social factors and multiple testing, frequent cultural engagement was associated with lower risk of any mental disorders (HR 0.71, 95% CI 0.62-0.82, FDR adjusted P value<0.001), dementia (0.71, 0.56-0.89, FDR adjusted P value=0.010), substance misuse (0.75, 0.59-0.95,FDR adjusted P value=0.040), and mood disorders (0.73, 0.56-0.95, FDR adjusted P value=0.044), but not neurotic disorders. Associations persisted after excluding early incident cases and adjusting for baseline depressive symptoms and cognition, and showed robustness to unmeasured confounders. To further probe causality, eye disease, ear disease, and traumatic brain injury, which share similar socio-demographic profiles to mental disorders, were prespecified as negative control outcomes. Cultural engagement was not associated with any negative control outcomes. These findings provide triangulated statistical data to suggest that cultural engagement is associated with reduced risk of several clinically recorded mental disorders and support further testing of cultural engagement as a population mental health strategy.

Background Low-level systemic inflammation has been associated with late-life depressive symptoms. Whether individuals with higher inflammation derive preventive benefit from low-dose aspirin therapy is unknown. Methods We performed a post-hoc analysis of the ASPiring in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial. Baseline C-reactive protein (hsCRP) was measured in plasma and depressive symptoms were assessed annually using the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression 10 Scale with elevated symptoms defined as CES-D-10 >= 8. Participants with elevated depressive symptoms at baseline were excluded. We fitted population-averaged logistic generalised estimating equation models adjusted for baseline sociodemographic and lifestyle covariates, including an hsCRP x treatment interaction to test effect modification by aspirin. Results Higher baseline hsCRP was associated with increased odds of elevated depressive symptoms during follow-up (OR 1.07 per SD increase in hsCRP, 95% CI 1.03-1.11). Low-dose aspirin allocation did not modify the hsCRP-depressive symptoms association (interaction OR 1.02, 95% CI 0.94-1.10). Findings were similar after additional adjustment for comorbidity and other covariates. Conclusions In community-dwelling older adults during the ASPREE randomised trial period, higher baseline hsCRP was modestly associated with elevated depressive symptoms. There was no evidence that low-dose aspirin was associated with reduced risk of depressive symptoms among participants with higher baseline inflammation.

Background. The emergency department in the United States of America functions as a residual access point for healthcare and social services for populations including rural communities, the uninsured, mental health and addiction patients, and the unhoused. The workforce variable that determines unit function (experience density, the concentration of accumulated clinical judgment within a unit workforce) is not measured in hospital accounting systems. Objective. To document workforce composition changes in U.S. emergency nursing across the 2018 and 2022 cycles of the National Sample Survey of Registered Nurses (NSSRN), and to specify falsifiable predictions for the 2026 cycle. Methods. We analyzed NSSRN public-use files using a four-way ED definition extending Castner et al. (2024) and a hospital-bedside-restricted comparator. Variance estimation used jackknife replicate weights for 2018 and Successive Differences Replication for 2022. Burnout was operationalized using the Norful et al. (2023) leaving-reasons proxy across cycles, with sensitivity analysis using the 2022 direct burnout item. Results. A 15-year trajectory (2008-2022) documents progressive experience-density compression: the ED's 15+ year veteran cohort fell from 41.9% to 28.0% over the decade preceding the pandemic, a loss of nearly a third of the senior cohort and a 19.6% decline in mean experience density, before recovering modestly to 33.3% as veteran nurses remained through the pandemic acute phase, leaving the ED as the youngest hospital setting throughout. Hospital non-ED bedside nurses lost senior tenure between cycles (mean 15.65[-&gt;]14.06 years since first licensure; 15+ year share 43.5%[-&gt;]38.7%), while ED nurses retained their senior tail (mean 11.60[-&gt;]12.58). Burnout endorsement rose sharply in both populations (non-ED 27.3%[-&gt;]46.0%; ED 34.2%[-&gt;]61.2%), with the ED-vs-non-ED gap more than doubling. Controlling for tenure, ED status was not independently associated with burnout in 2018 (OR 1.15, 95% CI 0.83-1.59) but was strongly associated in 2022 (OR 1.92, 95% CI 1.44-2.55; p<.001). The direct burnout item showed a parallel pattern (OR 2.92, 95% CI 1.62-5.28). Conclusions. A pandemic-era setting-specific burnout effect emerged in emergency nursing that workforce-composition controls cannot explain. The 2022 cycle establishes a pre-exit baseline against which the 2026 NSSRN will serve as the falsifiable test of post-Omicron veteran exit. Nursing pipeline replacement lag exceeds the interval before 2026 data arrives; the consequences of inaction fall on populations dependent on ED-based residual access.

Introduction Gender norms and roles are important determinants of physical and mental health in the key period of adolescence. Yet, the gendered pathways to mental health in adolescents are not fully understood. Using a conceptual framework for global adolescent mental health that we developed based on a Delphi process, we empirically investigated the associations between six gender-related constructs and adolescent mental health. Methods We used cross-sectional Gender and Adolescence: Global Evidence (GAGE) data from Ethiopia (2020) to explore the associations between sex, gender norms, psychological competencies, gender attitudes, gender roles, with the latter two also serving as mediators, and psychological distress (GHQ-12), using Structural Equation Modelling (SEM). Results The SEM model contained measurements from 1,584 adolescents, including 843 girls and 741 boys, with a median age of 13 years. Out of 14 pathways tested, we found statistically significant associations between psychological competencies and psychological distress; sex and gender attitudes; and between gender norms and psychological competencies, gender attitudes, and gender roles. Hence, the gender-related constructs were mostly associated with each other, rather than with psychological distress. Conclusion The gender-related constructs are strongly interrelated, thereby attenuating their individual effects on psychological distress. The interplay of gender-related constructs should be considered when developing interventions to promote mental health in adolescents.

Women's disproportionate responsibility for unpaid domestic and care work, including water collection, remains a barrier to gender equality globally and may constrain women's ability to engage in income-generating activities. We compared women's and men's time use in rural Kenya and Honduras and assessed whether women's time spent on water collection and income-generating activities differed between communities that had or had not received an improved water source from World Vision. We also examined the measurement of time-use agency among women and men. In-person surveys were conducted in July-August 2024 with 95 participants (48 women, 47 men) in six Kenyan communities and 102 participants (53 women, 49 men) in six Honduran communities. Surveys included a 24-hour time-use recall module and items on time-use agency. Analyses compared time use by gender and by community intervention status (improved vs. not yet improved water supply), and confirmatory factor analysis assessed the validity of the time-use agency measure. Women in both study sites spent substantially more time than men on unpaid domestic and care work activities, including cooking, cleaning, laundry, and caregiving. In Kenya, women also spent significantly more time collecting water. Men spent more time sleeping (Kenya), on paid work (Honduras), unpaid agricultural work (both settings), and traveling (both settings). Across both countries, there were no significant differences between intervention and comparison communities in women's time spent on water collection or income-generating activities. In Kenya, most respondents reported high influence over their time, and six items showed strong validity for measuring instrumental time-use agency. Women's time burdens remained high even in communities that had received improved water sources, including at the household level. Our results suggest that more transformative water infrastructure, combined with interventions that address gendered social norms, may be needed to meaningfully reduce women's domestic work burden and support their economic empowerment.

Background: The traditional wealth index, based on principal component analysis (PCA), used in the Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) and Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys (MICS), suffers from urban bias, distorting estimates of health inequality. We compared the traditional index (PEAR1) with an alternative two-component polychoric PCA index (POLY2) using annual expenditure from 12 LSMS surveys as the gold standard to determine which provides more accurate SEP measures for equitable policy targeting. Methods: We compared the traditional wealth index (PEAR1) with a two-component polychoric PCA approach (POLY2) using 12 LSMS (Living Standards Measurement Study) surveys (2015-2022) from 12 African countries. Annual household consumption expenditure was the gold standard. We assessed agreement using weighted Cohen's kappa and validated against education (proportion of households with secondary or higher education) using the concentration index (CIX) and slope index of inequality (SII). Results: The POLY2 index showed higher agreement with expenditure quintiles (average national weighted kappa = 43.3%) than the PEAR1 index (35.1%), with notable improvements in urban (43.5% vs. 27.5%) and rural (35.3% vs. 22.4%) areas. POLY2 also attenuated extreme household distributions observed in PEAR1. Education validation showed that POLY2 produced intermediate inequality gradients between the flatter expenditure-based gradient and the steeper PEAR1-based gradient. Conclusion: The POLY2 wealth index is superior to the traditional index, reducing urban-rural bias and providing more accurate socioeconomic classifications. Its adoption in large-scale surveys such as DHS and MICS is recommended to improve equitable monitoring of health inequalities in low- and middle-income countries.

Medical discrimination may alter how patients relate to health information sources following adverse care encounters. We examined whether discrimination experience is associated with selective erosion of institutional health trust and with compensatory digital health engagement, using nationally representative data from the Health Information National Trends Survey (HINTS) 6 (2022; n=6,252) and HINTS 7 (2024; n=7,278). Survey-weighted modified Poisson regression estimated prevalence ratios (PRs) for binary high-trust outcomes, and survey-weighted ordinary least squares estimated coefficients for continuous outcomes; jackknife replicate weights (50 replicates) provided variance estimates. Discrimination was associated with substantially lower probability of high trust in the healthcare system (PR=0.39; 95% CI 0.30-0.52) and physicians (PR=0.85; 95% CI 0.77-0.94), with no significant association for trust in scientists, government, family, or religious organisations. The clinical-institutional pattern replicated in HINTS 6, which additionally showed reduced trust in scientists for race/ethnicity-based discrimination. Contrary to a disengagement hypothesis, discrimination-exposed adults showed higher probability of online health information seeking (PR=1.06), health app use (PR=1.11), and online provider messaging (PR=1.13); these associations persisted after adjustment for trust in physicians. Discrimination was independently associated with lower health self-efficacy (b=-0.271). Medical discrimination selectively erodes trust in clinical institutions while leaving broader epistemic trust largely intact. Despite this, discrimination-exposed patients engage more actively with digital health channels, consistent with compensatory reorientation toward non-clinical information sources. These findings describe engaged but institutionally alienated patients, with implications for restoring clinical trust and for equity-centred digital health design.

Background Multimorbidity is increasingly prevalent, and associated with worse clinical and psychosocial burdens. Interoception, the brain's ability to sense and interpret internal bodily signals, may contribute to multimorbidity, through its link with health behaviors, stress regulation, and mental health. This study examines whether self-reported interoceptive accuracy and attention is associated with multimorbidity, by identifying multimorbid subgroups and their interoceptive profiles. Methods Morbidity classes were identified through latent class analyses in two Dutch survey datasets, focusing on depression and alexithymia (DA-dataset; N = 671) and lifestyle factors (L-dataset; N = 1022). Linear regression analyses were used to assess interoceptive accuracy and attention (by the Interoceptive Accuracy Scale and Interoceptive Attention Scale respectively) among different subgroups. Results Multimorbid subgroups were characterized by older age, low socioeconomic position, and elevated physical, psychological, and behavioral problems. Multimorbid classes exhibited lower interoceptive accuracy (DA-dataset: B = -1.14, 95% CI = [-2.89, 0.62]; L-dataset: B = -2.36, 95% CI = [-3.83, -0.89]) and higher attention (DA-dataset: B = 3.62, 95% CI = [0.97, 6.27]; L-dataset: B = 1.07, 95% CI = [-1.42, 3.56]) compared to healthier classes. Conclusion Multimorbid populations demonstrated lower interoceptive accuracy and higher interoceptive attention. This highlights the psychosocial complexity of multimorbid populations which may impact their self-management and health behavior. These findings underscore the need to expand treatments to include psychosocial domains for multimorbid patients.

Introduction: Women aged 45-49 occupy a heterogeneous late-reproductive-life stage, but population research often treats them as a uniform group. This study examined correlates of Demographic and Health Survey (DHS)-defined infecund/menopausal status among Nigerian women aged 45-49. Methods: This cross-sectional secondary analysis used the 2024 Nigeria Demographic and Health Survey Women Recode dataset. Weighted descriptive statistics summarised reproductive exposure status among 3,237 women. Out of these, 3,110 women classified as either fecund or infecund/menopausal were subjected to Survey-adjusted Chi-square tests and Binary Logistic regression at p<0.05, where pregnant and postpartum amenorrhoeic women were excluded. Results: More than half of women were classified as infecund/menopausal (54.1%), while 41.5% were fecund; 3.2% were postpartum amenorrhoeic, and 1.3% were pregnant. Findings indicated that currently married/cohabiting women (AOR=4.87; 95% CI: 2.24-10.56) and formerly married women (AOR=8.30; 95% CI: 3.69-18.66) had higher odds of infecund/menopausal classification than women never in a union. Secondary education, higher education, middle-to-richest wealth quintiles, and five or more children ever born were associated with lower odds, while Northern minority ethnicity was associated with higher odds. Adding the current contraceptive method attenuated several education, wealth and parity associations; modern-method and traditional-method users had markedly lower odds than non-users. Conclusion: Late-reproductive-life exposure status among Nigerian women aged 45-49 is socially patterned, with union status showing the most stable association. DHS-defined infecund/menopausal status is a demographic exposure category rather than clinically confirmed menopause. It is therefore concluded that the cross-sectional associations should not be interpreted causally.

Background: In prospective cohort studies, where an exposure is collected repeatedly, interest often lies in determining whether the timing of that exposure has a differential effect on a later outcome. The Structured Life Course Modeling Approach (SLCMA), where users select between temporal hypotheses of exposure specified a priori, provides one way to analyse such longitudinal data. However, few studies using SLCMA consider the effect of time-varying covariates (TVC) which may impact associations. Methods: We present a modified version of the SLCMA - called direct and mediated effects (DME)-SLCMA - which corrects for TVC. We first develop the DME-SLCMA method, test it through simulation, and apply it to psychosocial data from the Drakenstein Child Health Study (DCHS, n=336) to investigate relationships between maternal psychopathology, TVC of socioeconomic status, and offspring depressive symptoms. Results: We found that, on average, offspring depressive symptoms score increased by 3.9% (95% CI: 1.0%-6.9%, p = 0.039) for each unit of maternal psychopathology (SRQ) at 48 months whilst adjusting for time-varying socioeconomic status (at 18, 30, 42 and 54 months). Our simulations identified several realistic scenarios where selections ignoring TVC - with TVC mediated exposure effects present - were prone to be incorrect, including our DCHS example. Conclusion: DME-SLCMA is a robust new approach for life course modelling in the presence of time-varying covariates. We recommend adjusting for TVC whenever possible, and, when not possible, our simulation study identified that scenarios where mediated effects are comparable, or greater, in magnitude to direct effects are most prone to confounding.